NFL DFS projections — 2026 Week 9 DraftKings main slate
Free DraftKings NFL projections for 2026 week 9: 495 players, 11 games. Built from DK's own lines and open play-by-play data. Updated 2026-11-02. Stats through week 8. Ownership is a heuristic. Build lineups with these in the optimizer →
QB
Player
Tm
Opp
Imp
Salary
Proj
Val
Own
Ceil
Brock Purdy
SF
LV
30.8
$6,800
21.3
3.14
9%
30.5
Dak Prescott
DAL
IND
28.8
$6,500
20.6
3.18
8%
29.5
Patrick Mahomes
KC
NYJ
28.0
$6,100
19.7
3.22
7%
28.1
Drake Maye
NE
GB
25.3
$7,000
19.7
2.81
5%
28.1
Jared Goff
DET
MIA
28.8
$6,600
19.5
2.96
6%
27.9
Matthew Stafford
LAR
WAS
26.5
$6,200
18.6
3.00
5%
26.6
Tyler Shough
NO
CLE
23.0
$5,700
16.6
2.91
4%
23.7
Sam Darnold
SEA
ARI
28.0
$5,600
16.2
2.89
4%
23.1
C.J. Stroud
HOU
LAC
22.5
$5,900
16.1
2.73
3%
23.0
Kirk Cousins
LV
SF
20.8
$5,300
15.9
3.01
3%
22.8
Jordan Love
GB
NE
22.3
$6,300
15.7
2.50
2%
22.5
Bo Nix
DEN
CAR
23.3
$5,400
15.6
2.89
3%
22.3
J.J. McCarthy
NYG
PHI
21.5
$4,800
15.5
3.23
4%
22.2
Jayden Daniels
WAS
LAR
21.0
$6,000
15.3
2.54
2%
21.8
Malik Willis
MIA
DET
21.8
$5,100
15.2
2.98
3%
21.7
Daniel Jones
IND
DAL
22.8
$4,700
15.0
3.20
4%
21.5
RB
Player
Tm
Opp
Imp
Salary
Proj
Val
Own
Ceil
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET
MIA
28.8
$10,000
27.7
2.77
45%
47.6
Javonte Williams
DAL
IND
28.8
$7,300
19.2
2.63
45%
32.9
Kenneth Walker III
KC
NYJ
28.0
$9,000
18.4
2.04
17%
31.5
Kyren Williams
LAR
WAS
26.5
$7,600
16.3
2.14
14%
27.9
Christian McCaffrey Q
SF
LV
30.8
$8,000
15.9
1.99
14%
27.3
Jonathan Taylor
IND
DAL
22.8
$7,500
13.9
1.86
6%
23.9
J.K. Dobbins
DEN
CAR
23.3
$4,800
11.6
2.41
10%
19.9
Jonah Coleman
DEN
CAR
23.3
$5,300
11.1
2.09
6%
19.0
Ashton Jeanty
LV
SF
20.8
$5,900
10.7
1.82
3%
18.4
Cam Skattebo Q
NYG
PHI
21.5
$5,600
10.3
1.84
4%
17.7
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE
GB
25.3
$6,100
10.1
1.65
3%
17.3
Saquon Barkley
PHI
NYG
18.0
$6,200
10.1
1.62
2%
17.2
Alvin Kamara
NO
CLE
23.0
$5,000
10.0
1.99
4%
17.1
Chuba Hubbard
CAR
DEN
20.3
$6,500
9.9
1.52
2%
16.9
Quinshon Judkins
CLE
NO
20.5
$5,400
9.8
1.82
3%
16.9
Josh Jacobs
GB
NE
22.3
$6,800
9.6
1.40
2%
16.4
Ollie Gordon II
MIA
DET
21.8
$5,600
9.2
1.64
2%
15.7
Blake Corum
LAR
WAS
26.5
$5,100
8.3
1.62
3%
14.2
Zach Charbonnet
SEA
ARI
28.0
$5,800
7.8
1.34
2%
13.3
Woody Marks
HOU
LAC
22.5
$5,700
7.4
1.29
1%
12.6
Kendre Miller
NO
CLE
23.0
$4,500
7.3
1.62
2%
12.5
TreVeyon Henderson Q
NE
GB
25.3
$4,600
7.1
1.54
2%
12.2
Omarion Hampton
LAC
HOU
18.0
$4,800
6.8
1.42
1%
11.7
Rachaad White
WAS
LAR
21.0
$5,100
6.8
1.33
1%
11.6
Audric Estime
CLE
NO
20.5
$4,000
6.7
1.68
2%
11.5
Braelon Allen
NYJ
KC
18.5
$6,300
6.6
1.05
1%
11.4
Emanuel Wilson
SEA
ARI
28.0
$5,000
6.6
1.31
2%
11.3
Jeremiyah Love Q
ARI
SEA
16.5
$5,200
6.4
1.24
1%
11.0
Kaelon Black
SF
LV
30.8
$5,500
6.1
1.12
1%
10.5
Breece Hall Q
NYJ
KC
18.5
$6,000
6.0
1.00
1%
10.3
WR
Player
Tm
Opp
Imp
Salary
Proj
Val
Own
Ceil
Puka Nacua
LAR
WAS
26.5
$8,800
24.2
2.75
45%
43.6
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET
MIA
28.8
$8,100
17.4
2.14
42%
31.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA
ARI
28.0
$9,300
16.4
1.77
18%
29.7
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
IND
28.8
$8,300
15.8
1.91
22%
28.6
George Pickens
DAL
IND
28.8
$6,300
12.8
2.02
17%
23.0
Rashee Rice
KC
NYJ
28.0
$6,400
12.1
1.89
11%
21.9
Malik Nabers
NYG
PHI
21.5
$7,300
11.6
1.59
4%
20.9
A.J. Brown Q
NE
GB
25.3
$5,800
11.5
1.98
11%
20.8
Jameson Williams
DET
MIA
28.8
$6,100
11.1
1.81
9%
20.0
Nico Collins
HOU
LAC
22.5
$7,200
11.1
1.53
4%
19.9
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR
DEN
20.3
$6,900
10.6
1.53
3%
19.1
Chris Olave
NO
CLE
23.0
$7,400
10.2
1.37
3%
18.4
Keenan Allen
IND
DAL
22.8
$4,900
9.4
1.92
6%
17.0
Christian Watson Q
GB
NE
22.3
$7,500
9.2
1.23
2%
16.7
Garrett Wilson
NYJ
KC
18.5
$6,600
9.1
1.37
2%
16.4
Jaylen Waddle
DEN
CAR
23.3
$5,700
8.9
1.56
3%
16.1
Stefon Diggs
WAS
LAR
21.0
$5,600
8.9
1.58
3%
16.0
Michael Wilson Q
ARI
SEA
16.5
$6,700
8.8
1.31
1%
15.8
Matthew Golden
GB
NE
22.3
$7,000
8.7
1.25
2%
15.8
Deebo Samuel Sr. Q
SF
LV
30.8
$5,300
8.6
1.62
5%
15.5
Mike Evans Q
SF
LV
30.8
$6,500
8.2
1.27
2%
14.9
Ryan Flournoy
DAL
IND
28.8
$4,800
8.2
1.71
5%
14.8
Josh Downs
IND
DAL
22.8
$5,100
8.1
1.59
3%
14.7
Jalen Coker
CAR
DEN
20.3
$6,200
7.7
1.24
1%
13.8
Xavier Worthy
KC
NYJ
28.0
$4,400
7.7
1.74
4%
13.8
Tre Tucker
LV
SF
20.8
$5,400
7.5
1.39
2%
13.6
Courtland Sutton
DEN
CAR
23.3
$4,400
7.2
1.64
3%
13.1
Denzel Boston
CLE
NO
20.5
$5,000
7.1
1.42
2%
12.8
Malik Washington
MIA
DET
21.8
$4,700
6.9
1.46
2%
12.4
DeMario Douglas
NE
GB
25.3
$4,800
6.8
1.41
2%
12.2
KC Concepcion Jr.
CLE
NO
20.5
$4,600
6.7
1.45
2%
12.1
Caleb Douglas
MIA
DET
21.8
$4,200
6.3
1.51
2%
11.4
Ladd McConkey
LAC
HOU
18.0
$5,500
6.2
1.13
1%
11.2
Marvin Harrison Jr.
HOU
LAC
22.5
$4,500
6.1
1.35
1%
11.0
DeVonta Smith Q
PHI
NYG
18.0
$6,800
6.1
0.89
0%
11.0
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU
LAC
22.5
$4,000
6.1
1.52
2%
11.0
Devaughn Vele
NO
CLE
23.0
$5,100
6.0
1.18
1%
10.9
Quentin Johnston
LAC
HOU
18.0
$4,300
5.8
1.36
1%
10.6
Antonio Williams
WAS
LAR
21.0
$4,100
5.7
1.39
1%
10.3
John Metchie III
CAR
DEN
20.3
$3,200
5.4
1.70
2%
9.8
TE
Player
Tm
Opp
Imp
Salary
Proj
Val
Own
Ceil
Trey McBride
ARI
SEA
16.5
$7,700
13.6
1.77
9%
25.6
Brock Bowers
LV
SF
20.8
$7,900
12.2
1.54
6%
22.9
George Kittle
SF
LV
30.8
$6,000
11.5
1.91
14%
21.6
Tyler Warren
IND
DAL
22.8
$4,600
8.7
1.89
5%
16.4
Sam LaPorta
DET
MIA
28.8
$5,100
8.7
1.70
5%
16.4
Travis Kelce
KC
NYJ
28.0
$4,900
8.4
1.71
5%
15.8
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE
NO
20.5
$4,700
8.1
1.73
3%
15.3
Tyler Higbee
LAR
WAS
26.5
$3,700
7.4
2.01
6%
14.0
Tucker Kraft
GB
NE
22.3
$5,500
6.8
1.24
1%
12.8
Michael Mayer
LV
SF
20.8
$3,400
6.8
2.00
4%
12.8
Oronde Gadsden II
LAC
HOU
18.0
$3,300
6.8
2.05
3%
12.7
Dalton Schultz
HOU
LAC
22.5
$3,200
6.5
2.04
4%
12.3
Juwan Johnson
NO
CLE
23.0
$4,200
6.4
1.52
2%
12.1
AJ Barner
SEA
ARI
28.0
$3,800
6.4
1.68
3%
12.0
Isaiah Likely
NYG
PHI
21.5
$5,000
6.3
1.27
1%
11.9
Colby Parkinson Q
LAR
WAS
26.5
$3,000
6.2
2.07
5%
11.7
DST
Player
Tm
Opp
Imp
Salary
Proj
Val
Own
Ceil
Texans
HOU
LAC
22.5
$3,500
8.9
2.53
19%
16.4
Seahawks
SEA
ARI
28.0
$3,800
8.8
2.31
14%
16.2
Saints
NO
CLE
23.0
$2,900
7.8
2.68
19%
14.3
Broncos
DEN
CAR
23.3
$3,000
7.3
2.44
9%
13.5
Giants
NYG
PHI
21.5
$2,800
6.8
2.41
6%
12.5
Browns
CLE
NO
20.5
$2,700
6.8
2.50
7%
12.4
Chiefs
KC
NYJ
28.0
$3,700
6.3
1.70
1%
11.6
Eagles
PHI
NYG
18.0
$2,500
6.3
2.51
6%
11.6
Lions
DET
MIA
28.8
$3,400
6.2
1.83
2%
11.5
Rams
LAR
WAS
26.5
$3,300
6.1
1.84
2%
11.2
49ers
SF
LV
30.8
$3,600
6.0
1.68
2%
11.1
Cowboys
DAL
IND
28.8
$3,200
6.0
1.88
2%
11.1
Patriots
NE
GB
25.3
$3,100
6.0
1.94
2%
11.1
Panthers
CAR
DEN
20.3
$2,600
5.1
1.95
1%
9.3
DraftKings lines → implied team totals
IND @ DAL: DAL -6, total 51.5 → DAL 28.8, IND 22.7
LV @ SF: SF -10, total 51.5 → SF 30.8, LV 20.7
MIA @ DET: DET -7, total 50.5 → DET 28.8, MIA 21.7
WAS @ LAR: LAR -5.5, total 47.5 → LAR 26.5, WAS 21.0
GB @ NE: NE -3, total 47.5 → NE 25.3, GB 22.2
NYJ @ KC: KC -9.5, total 46.5 → KC 28, NYJ 18.5
ARI @ SEA: SEA -11.5, total 44.5 → SEA 28, ARI 16.5
CLE @ NO: NO -2.5, total 43.5 → NO 23, CLE 20.5
CAR @ DEN: DEN -3, total 43.5 → DEN 23.3, CAR 20.2
Report card — published projections vs what happened
Week
n (proj ≥ 6)
r
Spearman
MAE
bias
2026 wk 8
27
0.499
0.377
4.95
-1.42
2026 wk 7
86
0.346
0.384
6.28
-2.6
2026 wk 6
17
0.512
0.564
5.65
-2.82
2026 wk 5
0
0
0
null
null
2026 wk 4
97
0.245
0.307
6.48
-3.3
2026 wk 3
0
0
0
null
null
2026 wk 2
122
0.509
0.5
6.13
-2.23
Graded on the last pack published before kickoff; players projected at 6+ DK points.
How these are made
Market-implied team totals (DraftKings lines, via ESPN's public scoreboard) × each player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules including yardage-bonus expectation. The starting QB is the one who threw in the team's last game. Injured-out players are zeroed and their share is redistributed to same-position teammates. Every input is open data; nothing is scraped from a walled endpoint — see the data policy.
Backtest, 2025 weeks 6–17, 2,174 startable player-weeks: r 0.50, Spearman 0.53, MAE 5.89 vs 0.47 / 0.48 / 6.16 for a trailing-average baseline.
dfsroto is independent software and data. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by DraftKings, Kalshi, Pinnacle, ESPN or the NFL; their names identify the data only. Probabilities and projections are information, not advice. 18+. Terms · Privacy · Data policy