Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN vs CHI

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,100 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

15.5projected DK points
7.0–26.6floor – ceiling
26%projected ownership (heuristic)
22.0MIN implied total · CHI 26.5

Projected stat line

Rush yds63.6
Rush TD0.63
Rec2.61
Rec yds18.8
Rec TD0.09

+share: Jordan Mason out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receiving yards40+YES0.1416%5%14.5
receiving yards15+NO0.4952%2%14.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.