AJ Barner TE · SEA vs ARI

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,800 · projected 2026-11-03 00:40Z

6.4projected DK points
2.0–12.0floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
24.8SEA implied total · ARI undefined

Projected stat line

Rush yds1.5
Rush TD0.04
Rec2.10
Rec yds24.5
Rec TD0.25

+share: Elijah Arroyo out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receiving yards30+NO0.4956%10%29.5
receiving yards25+NO0.4248%9%29.5
receiving yards20+NO0.3439%8%29.5
receptions3+NO0.4045%7%3.5
receptions2+NO0.2124%6%3.5
receptions4+NO0.5964%5%3.5
receptions5+NO0.7378%5%3.5
receiving yards40+NO0.6469%4%29.5
receiving yards15+NO0.2629%3%29.5
receptions6+NO0.8688%1%3.5
receiving yards50+NO0.7678%0%29.5
receiving yards60+NO0.8585%-1%29.5
receiving yards10+YES0.8382%-2%29.5
touchdowns1+NO0.7474%-3%0.5
receiving yards15+YES0.7571%-8%29.5
receptions2+YES0.8176%-9%3.5
touchdowns1+YES0.2727%-9%0.5
receiving yards60+YES0.1615%-11%29.5
receiving yards20+YES0.6761%-12%29.5
receptions3+YES0.6155%-13%3.5
receiving yards25+YES0.5952%-15%29.5
receiving yards10+NO0.1918%-16%29.5
receptions4+YES0.4236%-19%3.5
receiving yards30+YES0.5244%-19%29.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.