Alvin Kamara RB · NO vs BAL

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $4,600 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

7.3projected DK points

3.3–12.6floor – ceiling

1%projected ownership (heuristic)

19.5NO implied total · BAL 27.0

Projected stat line

Rush yds	21.5
Rush TD	0.15
Rec	2.44
Rec yds	15.6
Rec TD	0.06

+share: Audric Estime, Ty Chandler out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.

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