Baker Mayfield QB · TB vs CLE

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,600 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

16.6projected DK points
11.1–23.7floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
25.0TB implied total · CLE 16.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds212.6
Pass TD1.57
INT0.66
Rush yds15.8
Rush TD0.11

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+NO0.4954%5%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.