Bo Nix QB · DEN vs JAX

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,700 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

18.0projected DK points
12.1–25.8floor – ceiling
11%projected ownership (heuristic)
24.0DEN implied total · JAX 21.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds231.2
Pass TD1.46
INT0.71
Rush yds19.0
Rush TD0.22
Rec0.02
Rec yds0.2

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.