Brian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX vs BAL

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,700 · projected 2026-11-03 02:40Z

6.1projected DK points
2.3–11.0floor – ceiling
2%projected ownership (heuristic)
–JAX implied total

Projected stat line

Rush yds0.7
Rec1.95
Rec yds27.5
Rec TD0.21

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
touchdowns1+YES0.1620%20%none
receptions3+YES0.1721%18%1.5
receiving yards15+YES0.4247%8%10.5
receiving yards25+YES0.2630%7%10.5
receiving yards10+YES0.5560%5%10.5
receptions2+YES0.3842%5%1.5
receiving yards30+YES0.2124%4%10.5
receiving yards40+YES0.1415%2%10.5
touchdowns1+NO0.8780%-9%none
receiving yards40+NO0.9685%-13%10.5
receptions2+NO0.6758%-16%1.5
receiving yards30+NO0.9076%-17%10.5
receptions3+NO0.9579%-18%1.5
receiving yards25+NO0.8670%-20%10.5
receiving yards10+NO0.4840%-21%10.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.