Caleb Douglas WR · MIA vs SF

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,700 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

7.9projected DK points
3.0–14.3floor – ceiling
20%projected ownership (heuristic)
15.5MIA implied total · SF 29.0

Projected stat line

Rec3.63
Rec yds35.3
Rec TD0.13

thin sample (1 g)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receptions6+YES0.1317%21%2.5
receptions5+YES0.2328%13%2.5
receptions4+YES0.3844%9%2.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.