Caleb Williams QB · CHI vs MIN

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,800 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

19.5projected DK points
13.1–27.9floor – ceiling
4%projected ownership (heuristic)
26.5CHI implied total · MIN 22.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds245.5
Pass TD1.48
INT0.57
Rush yds22.9
Rush TD0.22
Rec0.06
Rec yds0.6

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+NO0.4756%16%none
rushing yards50+YES0.1518%14%25.5
passing TDs3+NO0.7681%4%none
passing yards250+YES0.3841%3%226.5
rushing yards25+NO0.5053%3%25.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.