Caleb Williams QB · CHI vs TB

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,300 · projected 2026-11-03 02:40Z

16.1projected DK points
10.8–23.0floor – ceiling
2%projected ownership (heuristic)
21.8CHI implied total · TB undefined

Projected stat line

Pass yds227.4
Pass TD1.18
INT0.61
Rush yds15.2
Rush TD0.15
Rec0.04
Rec yds0.4

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing yards250+NO0.2663%134%none
passing yards275+NO0.4476%68%none
passing TDs2+NO0.4867%35%none
rushing yards5+NO0.2535%32%none
passing yards300+NO0.6586%29%none
rushing yards10+NO0.4053%27%none
rushing yards15+NO0.5765%10%none
rushing yards20+NO0.6873%5%none
rushing yards25+NO0.7979%-2%none
rushing yards30+NO0.8684%-3%none
rushing yards30+YES0.1616%-7%none
touchdowns1+NO0.9286%-8%none
rushing yards25+YES0.2321%-19%none
passing yards175+YES0.9979%-22%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.