C.J. Stroud QB · HOU vs CIN

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,500 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

17.8projected DK points
11.9–25.5floor – ceiling
4%projected ownership (heuristic)
24.5HOU implied total · CIN 22.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds243.2
Pass TD1.68
INT0.69
Rush yds9.3
Rush TD0.09

+share: Graham Mertz out · starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs3+YES0.2024%9%none
passing yards250+YES0.3437%2%232.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.