Daniel Jones QB · IND vs KC

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,200 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

14.5projected DK points
9.7–20.7floor – ceiling
10%projected ownership (heuristic)
20.0IND implied total · KC 26.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds222.6
Pass TD1.05
INT0.82
Rush yds8.7
Rush TD0.17

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
rushing yards25+YES0.1417%17%8.5
touchdowns1+YES0.1416%6%none
rushing yards10+NO0.5458%4%8.5
passing TDs1+NO0.3235%3%none
passing TDs2+NO0.6872%3%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.