Derrick Henry RB · BAL vs NO

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $7,200 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

19.0projected DK points
8.6–32.6floor – ceiling
33%projected ownership (heuristic)
27.0BAL implied total · NO 19.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds0.3
Rush yds112.8
Rush TD0.76
Rec0.70
Rec yds6.3
Rec TD0.03

+share: Adam Randall out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
touchdowns1+NO0.3445%28%none
rushing yards140+YES0.1519%22%88.5
rushing yards150+YES0.1215%18%88.5
rushing yards130+YES0.2024%12%88.5
touchdowns2+NO0.7281%10%none
rushing yards120+YES0.2630%9%88.5
rushing yards110+YES0.3437%4%88.5
rushing yards100+YES0.4245%3%88.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.