Deshaun Watson QB · CLE vs TB

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $4,500 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

12.3projected DK points
8.3–17.6floor – ceiling
1%projected ownership (heuristic)
16.5CLE implied total · TB 25.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds185.9
Pass TD1.07
INT0.86
Rush yds9.6
Rush TD0.09

+share: Dillon Gabriel out · starter (last game) · thin sample (1 g)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+YES0.2529%8%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.