DeVonta Smith WR · PHI vs TEN

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,800 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

8.6projected DK points
3.3–15.4floor – ceiling
1%projected ownership (heuristic)
23.3PHI implied total · TEN 16.3

Projected stat line

Rec3.00
Rec yds40.1
Rec TD0.26

+share: Johnny Wilson out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receptions5+NO0.4856%12%4.5
receiving yards60+NO0.5158%10%60.5
touchdowns1+NO0.7178%6%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.