Fernando Mendoza QB · LV vs SEA

2026 week 10 · Week slate · DraftKings $4,600 · projected 2026-11-14 17:32Z

12.3projected DK points
8.3–17.6floor – ceiling
6%projected ownership (heuristic)
17.0LV implied total · SEA 23.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds190.7
Pass TD1.31
INT0.84
Rush yds2.1

starter (last-game starter Kirk Cousins unavailable → salary) · thin sample (1 g)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+YES0.2838%27%none
rushing yards10+NO0.4153%24%12.5
rushing yards15+NO0.5265%20%12.5
rushing yards20+NO0.6273%15%12.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.