Jake Ferguson TE · DAL vs WAS

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,800 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

7.7projected DK points
2.5–14.4floor – ceiling
19%projected ownership (heuristic)
27.0DAL implied total · WAS 23.5

Projected stat line

Rush yds0.2
Rec2.97
Rec yds31.3
Rec TD0.26

+share: Princeton Fant, DJ Rogers out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receiving yards60+YES0.1215%18%26.5
receiving yards50+YES0.1922%4%26.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.