Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN vs JAX

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,500 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

8.5projected DK points
3.2–15.4floor – ceiling
5%projected ownership (heuristic)
24.0DEN implied total · JAX 21.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds0.4
Rush yds0.6
Rec2.98
Rec yds41.4
Rec TD0.22

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
touchdowns1+NO0.7180%10%none
receptions5+NO0.5863%5%4.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.