Jaylen Warren RB · PIT vs NE

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,400 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

10.6projected DK points
4.8–18.1floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
18.0PIT implied total · NE 23.5

Projected stat line

Rush yds39.6
Rush TD0.32
Rec2.62
Rec yds16.4
Rec TD0.08

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receiving yards15+NO0.4146%7%19.5
rushing yards40+NO0.5660%4%none
receptions3+NO0.4144%4%2.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.