Joe Fagnano QB · BAL vs JAX · Q

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $4,300 · projected 2026-11-03 02:50Z

8.9projected DK points
6.0–12.8floor – ceiling
1%projected ownership (heuristic)
–BAL implied total

Projected stat line

Pass yds134.4
Pass TD0.76
INT0.64
Rush yds7.7
Rush TD0.08

+share: Skylar Thompson out · starter (last game) · thin sample (1 g) · status Q ×0.85

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.