Justin Jefferson WR · MIN vs CHI

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $7,800 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

11.6projected DK points
4.4–20.9floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
22.0MIN implied total · CHI 26.5

Projected stat line

Rush yds0.4
Rec4.38
Rec yds53.5
Rec TD0.26

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receptions6+NO0.4050%19%6.5
touchdowns1+NO0.6477%17%none
receiving yards70+NO0.4251%16%77.5
receiving yards60+NO0.3440%13%77.5
receiving yards80+NO0.5360%9%77.5
receptions7+NO0.5863%5%6.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.