Kyler Murray QB · MIN vs MIA

2026 week 4 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,300 · projected 2026-09-28 07:04Z

14.4projected DK points
9.7–20.6floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
22.0MIN implied total · MIA 17.8

Projected stat line

Pass yds176.7
Pass TD1.43
INT0.63
Rush yds14.7
Rush TD0.14

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.