Lamar Jackson QB · BAL vs NO

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $7,300 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

17.9projected DK points
12.0–25.6floor – ceiling
3%projected ownership (heuristic)
27.0BAL implied total · NO 19.5

Projected stat line

Pass yds205.2
Pass TD1.32
INT0.57
Rush yds30.9
Rush TD0.30

+share: Skylar Thompson out · starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+NO0.5462%11%none
rushing yards40+NO0.4956%10%40.5
touchdowns1+NO0.6774%8%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.