Malik Willis QB · MIA vs SF

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,200 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

12.4projected DK points
8.3–17.7floor – ceiling
5%projected ownership (heuristic)
15.5MIA implied total · SF 29.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds176.7
Pass TD0.92
INT0.78
Rush yds12.9
Rush TD0.19

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
passing TDs2+YES0.2124%3%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.