Michael Penix Jr. QB · ATL vs CIN

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $4,900 · projected 2026-11-05 18:32Z

16.4projected DK points
11.0–23.4floor – ceiling
4%projected ownership (heuristic)
24.8ATL implied total · CIN 27.8

Projected stat line

Pass yds234.4
Pass TD1.44
INT0.74
Rush yds8.3
Rush TD0.12

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
rushing yards20+YES0.1216%27%4.5
rushing yards15+YES0.1922%7%4.5
passing TDs2+NO0.5358%6%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.