Pat Freiermuth TE · PIT vs NE

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,700 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

6.6projected DK points

2.1–12.4floor – ceiling

1%projected ownership (heuristic)

18.0PIT implied total · NE 23.5

Projected stat line

Rec	2.85
Rec yds	25.2
Rec TD	0.20

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

Stat	Strike	Side	Price	p	ROI	Pinnacle
touchdowns	1+	YES	0.15	19%	17%	none
receptions	4+	NO	0.59	68%	12%	none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.

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