Patrick Mahomes QB · KC vs NYJ

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,100 · projected 2026-11-03 00:40Z

19.7projected DK points
13.2–28.1floor – ceiling
7%projected ownership (heuristic)
–KC implied total

Projected stat line

Pass yds238.9
Pass TD1.76
INT0.66
Rush yds18.7
Rush TD0.21
Rec0.02
Rec yds0.2

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.