Tony Pollard RB · TEN vs JAX

2026 week 10 · Week slate · DraftKings $6,000 · projected 2026-11-14 17:32Z

8.0projected DK points
3.6–13.7floor – ceiling
1%projected ownership (heuristic)
18.0TEN implied total · JAX 28.5

Projected stat line

Rush yds34.6
Rush TD0.37
Rec1.36
Rec yds8.0
Rec TD0.03

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
rushing yards30+NO0.1724%37%58.5
rushing yards40+NO0.2838%28%58.5
rushing yards50+NO0.4150%18%58.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.