Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX vs DEN

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,800 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

17.4projected DK points
11.7–24.9floor – ceiling
8%projected ownership (heuristic)
21.5JAX implied total · DEN 24.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds224.7
Pass TD1.35
INT0.72
Rush yds20.4
Rush TD0.23

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.