Tyler Shough QB · NO vs BAL

2026 week 2 · Week slate · DraftKings $5,300 · projected 2026-09-18 03:04Z

15.8projected DK points
10.6–22.5floor – ceiling
2%projected ownership (heuristic)
19.5NO implied total · BAL 27.0

Projected stat line

Pass yds239.0
Pass TD1.31
INT0.87
Rush yds7.5
Rush TD0.09

starter (last game)

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
rushing yards10+NO0.4576%65%none
rushing yards15+NO0.5084%64%none
interceptions2+YES0.1422%48%none
interceptions1+YES0.4558%25%none
passing TDs3+YES0.1214%13%none
passing TDs2+YES0.3438%5%none

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.