Zach Ertz TE · PHI vs CHI

2026 week 3 · Week slate · DraftKings $3,100 · projected 2026-09-23 20:06Z

8.3projected DK points
2.7–15.6floor – ceiling
9%projected ownership (heuristic)
23.0PHI implied total · CHI 18.5

Projected stat line

Rec3.10
Rec yds32.2
Rec TD0.33

+share: Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers out

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

No open Kalshi markets for this player right now.

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.