Zay Flowers WR · BAL vs JAX

2026 week 9 · Week slate · DraftKings $7,400 · projected 2026-11-03 02:50Z

10.2projected DK points
3.9–18.4floor – ceiling
1%projected ownership (heuristic)
–BAL implied total

Projected stat line

Rush yds1.8
Rec4.16
Rec yds44.4
Rec TD0.21

Kalshi props — model probability vs price

StatStrikeSidePricepROIPinnacle
receiving yards70+YES0.2224%-1%45.5
receiving yards20+YES0.8283%-1%45.5
touchdowns1+NO0.8080%-3%none
receiving yards30+YES0.7168%-7%45.5
receptions5+NO0.6158%-8%4.5
receptions4+YES0.6158%-8%4.5
receiving yards50+YES0.4442%-9%45.5
receiving yards90+NO0.9587%-9%45.5
receiving yards40+YES0.5854%-10%45.5
receptions5+YES0.4442%-10%4.5
receptions6+YES0.2928%-11%4.5
receiving yards80+NO0.9282%-12%45.5
receiving yards70+NO0.8676%-13%45.5
receptions7+NO0.9583%-14%4.5
receptions7+YES0.1817%-15%4.5
receptions4+NO0.4742%-15%4.5
receiving yards90+YES0.1413%-16%45.5
receptions6+NO0.8672%-17%4.5
receiving yards50+NO0.6858%-18%45.5
touchdowns1+YES0.2220%-18%none
receiving yards80+YES0.1918%-18%45.5

Data, not advice. Full ladder on /props.

How this number is made

Market-implied team total (DraftKings line via ESPN) × this player's trailing share of team targets, carries and attempts × regressed efficiency, scored with DraftKings' exact rules. Injured-out teammates' share is redistributed. This week's full board · data policy.